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Soybean Futures Fast Facts

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Soybean Futures are traded on the Chicago Board of Trade.  Soybeans are grown primarily for beans, which are harvested into oil and meal. Soybeans are primarily grown in the Corn-Belt states and the lower Mississippi Valley. The three top producing states on average are Iowa, Illinois, and Minnesota.

Soybeans are processed, "crushed", into meal and oil. Soybean Meal is used primarily as an animal feed, while soybean oil is found in a plethora of foods we eat and also has a host of industrial uses, with the most common food uses being edible oils- margarine, salad dressing, etc. Typically, each bushel of Soybeans produces 11 pounds of Soybean Oil and 48 pounds of Soybean Meal.

Planted area to Soybeans has increased rapidly from the second world war until 1979, when a record 71.4 million acres were planted. Acreage declined in the 1980's, but has rebounded in the 1990's. The 1997 yield of 39 bushels per acre is the second highest yield on record, versus the highest yield of 41.4 bushel per acre, set in 1994.


Major World Producers and Consumers for 1998/99 Crop Year

in million metric tons

Beginning

Domestic

Total

Ending

Stocks

Production

Imports

Crush

Use

Exports

Stocks

1998/99 (projected in million metric tons)

World

20.8

157.75

38.51

129.6

152.28

38.53

26.25

United States

5.44

75.03

0.16

42.46

47.97

20.96

11.7

Total foreign

15.36

82.73

38.35

87.14

104.31

17.57

14.55

Major exporters

13

53

1.9

37.7

40.3

15.4

12.2

Argentina

7.05

18.7

0.9

15.8

16.57

3.3

6.78

Brazil

5.95

31

1

21.3

23.03

9.5

5.42

Major importers

1.68

17.51

29.05

34.21

45.86

0.7

1.68

EU-15

0.82

1.74

15.62

15.52

16.77

0.52

0.89

Japan

0.63

0.16

4.6

3.54

4.84

0

0.55

China

0

13.8

3.45

10.3

17.07

0.18

0

  • all data gathered from the World Agricultural Outlook Board (WASDE #349)

Usual Planting and Harvest Dates for US Soybeans

Usual Planting Dates for Soybeans

(Top 5 producing States)

 

Planting

Harvest

State Begin Most Active End Begin Most Active End
Illinois May 6 May 15 - Jun 9 Jun 16 Sep 23 Oct 1 - Oct 19 Nov 3
Iowa May 4 May 14 - Jun 2 Jun 17 Sep 21 Oct 1 - Oct 15 Oct 27
Minnesota May 6 May 16 - Jun 3 Jun 23 Sep 25 Oct 4 - Oct 21 Oct 30
Indiana May 5 May 15 - Jun 5 Jun 20 Sep 25 Sep 30 - Oct 25 Nov 5
Ohio May 5 May 10 - Jun 7 Jun 23 Sep 21 Oct 1 - Oct 22 Nov 10

 

Dates based on the December 1997 USDA Agricultural Statistics Board


Usual Planting and Harvesting Dates report

Crop Progress

soybean futures crop progress from NASS
  • Planted - Sowing grain or percent planted
  • Emerged - As soon as the plants are visible.
  • Blooming - A plant should be considered as blooming as soon as one bloom appears.
  • Setting Pods - Pods are developing on the lower nodes with some blooming still occurring on the upper nodes.
  • Dropping Leaves - Leaves near the bottom of the plant are yellow and dropping, while leaves at the very top may still be green. Leaves are 30-50 percent yellow.
  • Harvested - Reaping grain or percent harvested

Price Prospective- Soybean Continuous contract monthly data


Charts compliments of Geckosoftware, Inc.
 


Seasonal Prospective


complete seasonal anlysis

Note: 1.0 represents the seasonal high, while 0.0 represents the seasonal low. Based on CBOT November Soybean futures settlement prices from 1979 to 1998.

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THE DATA CONTAINED HERE IN ARE BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE BUT CANNOT BE GUARANTEED AS TO RELIABILITY, ACCURACY, OR COMPLETENESS; AND, AS SUCH ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE.  CFEA WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR ANYTHING, WHICH MAY RESULT FROM RELIANCE ON THIS DATA OR THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED HERE IN.

DISCLOSURE OF RISK: THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL; THEREFORE, ONLY GENUINE RISK FUNDS SHOULD BE USED. FUTURES AND OPTIONS MAY NOT BE SUITABLE INVESTMENTS FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS, AND INDIVIDUALS SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER THEIR FINANCIAL CONDITION IN DECIDING WHETHER TO TRADE. OPTION TRADERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT THE EXERCISE OF A LONG OPTION WOULD RESULT IN A FUTURES POSITION.

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. 

NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL, OR IS LIKELY TO, ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. 

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM, IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES, ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS, IN GENERAL, OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.