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Oat Futures Fast Facts

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Production and acreage of Oats has declined steadily since 1945 when a record 1.5 billion bushels were produced utilizing 42 million acres. In 1998, only 167 million bushels are estimated to have been harvested, utilizing a paltry 4.9 million acres.

Oat acreage has declined so readily, because Oat demand has fallen. The main demand for Oats comes as an animal feed, primarily horses. As the population of horses has declined, due to the introduction of the internal combustion engine, the demand and resources devoted to Oats has decreased as well.

Over half of our domestic Oat production is grown in South Dakota, North Dakota, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Iowa. Oats are grown less extensively in the Corn-Belt, Great Lakes, and the Plains. Relatively few Oats are produced in the western and southern states. Almost half of the acreage planted for Oats is harvested for grain, with the remainder being utilized for hay.

 

Oat Futures Supply and Usage Information

Beginning

Area

Yield

Total

Feed &

Food, Seed, &

Total

Ending

Stocks

Harvested

Bu./acre

Supply

Residual

Industrial

Use

Stocks
1994/95

106

4

57.2

429

202

125

328

101

1995/96

101

3

54.7

343

152

123

277

66

1996/97

66

2.7

57.8

319

155

95

253

67

1997/98

67

2.9

60.5

341

170

95

267

74

1998/99

74

2.8

60.4

346

175

95

272

74

  • all data gathered from the World Agricultural Outlook Board (WASDE #349)
  • Beginning stocks in Million bushels, Area Harvested in Million acres, and all other figures presented in million bushels.

Usual Planting and Harvest Dates for US Oats

Usual Planting and Harvest Dates for Oats

(Top 5 producing States)

 

Planting

Harvest

State Begin Most Active End Begin Most Active End
North Dakota Apr 22 May 2-May 17 May 28

Aug 2

Aug 11-Aug 27

Sep 10

South Dakota Apr 4 Apr 15-May 4 May 21

Jul 10

Jul 21-Aug 7

Aug 20

Wisconsin Apr 1 Apr 10-May 20 May 25

Jul 20

Jul 30-Aug 25

Sep 5

Minnesota Apr 10 Apr 25-May 14 May 26

Jul 24

Aug 1-Aug 26

Sep 10

Indiana Mar 24 Apr 4-Apr 23 May 17

Jul 3

Jul 15-Jul 29

Aug 9

Dates based on the December 1997 USDA Agricultural Statistics Board
Usual Planting and Harvesting Dates report


Crop Progress

Oat Futures Crop Progress Information from NASS
  • Planted - sowing seeds or Planting Progress
  • Emerged - As soon as the plants are visible.
  • Headed - The head is present, visible, and fully emerged
  • Harvested - Reaping the grain, or Harvest Progress

Price Prospective- CBOT Oats Continuos contract monthly data


Charts compliments of Geckosoftware, Inc.

Seasonal Prospective


Oat Futures seasonal analysis click here

Note: 1.0 represents the seasonal high, while 0.0 represents the seasonal low. Based on CBOT December Corn futures settlement prices from 1979 to 1998.

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BD14565_.GIF (183 bytes) Supply/Usage Statistics

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THE DATA CONTAINED HERE IN ARE BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE BUT CANNOT BE GUARANTEED AS TO RELIABILITY, ACCURACY, OR COMPLETENESS; AND, AS SUCH ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE.  CFEA WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR ANYTHING, WHICH MAY RESULT FROM RELIANCE ON THIS DATA OR THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED HERE IN.

DISCLOSURE OF RISK: THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL; THEREFORE, ONLY GENUINE RISK FUNDS SHOULD BE USED. FUTURES AND OPTIONS MAY NOT BE SUITABLE INVESTMENTS FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS, AND INDIVIDUALS SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER THEIR FINANCIAL CONDITION IN DECIDING WHETHER TO TRADE. OPTION TRADERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT THE EXERCISE OF A LONG OPTION WOULD RESULT IN A FUTURES POSITION.

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. 

NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL, OR IS LIKELY TO, ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. 

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM, IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES, ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS, IN GENERAL, OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.