Home
Order
Form

Preview
Grain
Guide
Fast Facts on
Grain Futures

Futures Quotes
Weather
USDA Report
Schedule

"Old" Grain
Traders Lore

Futures Trading Terms



Links


Contact Info
About CFEA
About
Grainguide

 

 

 

Grain Traders Almanac

Technical Overview Preview for Corn Futures

For Fundamental Overview

The purpose of the Technical overview is to give futures traders a historical reference upon which to make decisions.  The key technical concepts shown monthly are

Preview Almanac Order Form

Seasonal analysis can be a powerful tool!  Seasonal charts, like the ones provided in the Grain Trader's Almanac give futures traders and hedgers a road map to follow, showing average behavior of the market in the past.  Though markets rarely follow these tendencies exactly, they are useful to traders in pointing out potential opportunities and pitfalls which have historically.  Before relying upon this information be sure to read the CFTC's thoughts on Seasonaility.

Return to Top

 

December CBOT Corn Futures
19 Year Seasonal Chart

wpe12.jpg (6194 bytes)

SEASONAL TENDENCIES ARE A COMPOSITE OF SOME OF THE MOST CONSISTENT COMMODITY FUTURES SEASONALS THAT HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST 19 YEARS.  THERE ARE USUALLY UNDERLYING, FUNDAMENTAL CIRCUMSTANCES THAT OCCUR ANNUALLY THAT TEND TO CAUSE THE FUTURES MARKETS TO REACT IN SIMILAR DIRECTIONAL MANNER DURING A CERTAIN CALENDAR YEAR.  EVEN IF A SEASONAL TENDENCY OCCURS IN THE FUTURE, IT MAY NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES AND THE TIMING OF THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE RESULTS.  NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS IN THE PAST, OR WILL IN THE FUTURE, ACHIEVE PROFITS USING THESE RECOMMENDATIONS.  NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT PRICE PATTERNS WILL RECUR IN THE FUTURE

 

 

The General Comments section provides an over view of the market during the month studies (September in this case).  You are typically provided with the monthly performance and ranking relative to other months, as well as sage advice on the likelihood of trend continuation and reversals on a monthly basis.

Return to Top

General Comments:  Second worst month behind July, September has been slammed historically September breaks are usually worse following a strong August Monthly Batting Average is Up 6 & Down 13 Expect higher highs following month if strong & lower lows if weak Monthly low has always held following strong month in the last 19 years

 

 

 

Each month general behavior statistics based on a specific futures contract are provided.   The number of increases (#Up) and decreases (# Dn) as well as the Total Monthly change for the contract during the last 19 years.

These figures can help you asses the market, spotting opportunities and avoiding pitfalls in helping you plan your speculative endeavors or assist you marketing your crop.

Return to Top

- 19 Year Monthly Performance Summary -

#Up 6 # Higher Highs 6
# DN 13 # Lower Lows 11
Total Change -73 3/4 # Expanded Ranges 8
Average Change -4 # Narrower Ranges 11
Average Increase 11
Average Decrease -10 3/4 5 Year High 346
Average Range 20 1/2 5 Year Low 197
see disclaimer at bottom of page and be sure to read the CFTC's thoughts on Seasonaility

 

For Fundamental Overview

Preview Almanac Order Form


THE DATA CONTAINED HERE IN ARE BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE BUT CANNOT BE GUARANTEED AS TO RELIABILITY, ACCURACY, OR COMPLETENESS; AND, AS SUCH ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE.  CFEA WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR ANYTHING, WHICH MAY RESULT FROM RELIANCE ON THIS DATA OR THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED HERE IN.

DISCLOSURE OF RISK: THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL; THEREFORE, ONLY GENUINE RISK FUNDS SHOULD BE USED. FUTURES AND OPTIONS MAY NOT BE SUITABLE INVESTMENTS FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS, AND INDIVIDUALS SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER THEIR FINANCIAL CONDITION IN DECIDING WHETHER TO TRADE. OPTION TRADERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT THE EXERCISE OF A LONG OPTION WOULD RESULT IN A FUTURES POSITION.

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. 

NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL, OR IS LIKELY TO, ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. 

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM, IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES, ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS, IN GENERAL, OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.