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2005 Grain Trader's Almanac Table of Contents

 

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Table of Contents

 

 

Jan Grain Count

1

Jan Fund

3

Jan Tech

5

Jan Spread

7

3 Destructions

9

3 Destructions

11

3 Destructions

13

Feb Fun

15

Feb Tech

17

Feb Spread

19

Spring Rally

21

Mar Fund

23

Mar Tech

25

Mar Spread

27

Wild Times Ahead

29

Apr Fund

31

Apr Tech

33

Apr Spread

35

May Fund

37

May Tech

39

May Spread

41

Last Frost

43

June Grain Count

45

June Fund

47

June Tech

49

June Spread

51

Fall Break

53

July Fund

55

July Tech

57

July Spread

59

August Grain Count

61

Aug Fund

63

Aug Tech

65

Aug Spread

67

Fade Opening Gap

69

Sep Fund

71

Sep Tech

73

Sep Spread

75

September Grain Count

77

September Barometer

79

Oct Fund

81

Oct Tech

83

Oct Spread

85

October Grain Count

87

First Frost Dates

89

Nov Fund

91

Nov Tech

93

Nov Spread

95

November Grain Count

97

Dec Fund

99

Dec Tech

101

Dec Spread

103

Dec Reverse Barometer

105

Standard Weights & Measures

107

 

Grain Informational Appendices

Appendix 1: Grain Market Fundamental Statistics

…

108– 117

U.S. Corn Supply & Usage

 

109

World Corn Supply & Usage

 

110

U.S. Soybean Supply & Usage

 

111

World Soybean Supply & Usage

 

112

U.S. Soybean Meal Supply & Usage

 

113

U.S. Soybean Oil Supply & Usage

 

114

U.S. All Wheat Supply & Usage

 

115

U.S. Hard Red and Soft Red Winter Wheat Supply & Usage

 

116

World All Wheat Supply & Usage

 

117

 

 

 
Appendix 2: Modified Grandmill Tables

 

118-130

The Modified Grandmill Method

 

119 – 123

July Corn Grandmill Analysis

 

124

December Corn Grandmill Analysis

 

125

July Soybeans Grandmill Analysis

 

126

November Soybeans Grandmill Analysis

 

127

July CBOT Wheat Grandmill Analysis

 

128

December CBOT Wheat Grandmill Analysis

 

129

W.M Grandmill Books

 

130

 

 

 
Appendix 3: Monthly Performance & Trend Statistics

 

131 – 145

Monthly Corn Futures Performance Statistics

 

132

Monthly Corn Trend Continuation Study

 

133

Monthly Soybean Futures Performance Summary

 

134

Monthly Soybean Trend Continuation Study

 

135

Monthly Soybean Meal Futures Performance Summary

 

136

Monthly Soybean Meal Trend Continuation Study

 

137

Monthly Soybean Oil Futures Performance Summary

 

138

Monthly Soybean Oil Trend Continuation Study

 

139

Monthly CBOT Wheat Futures Performance Summary

 

140

Monthly CBOT Wheat Trend Continuation Study

 

141

Monthly KCBT Wheat Futures Performance Summary

 

142

Monthly KCBT Wheat Trend Continuation Study

 

143

Monthly MPLS Wheat Futures Performance Summary

 

144

Monthly MPLS Wheat Trend Continuation Study

 

145

 

 

 
Appendix 4: Seasonal Charts

 

146 - 150

How to Read Seasonal Charts

 

147

Corn Futures Seasonal Charts

 

148

Soybean Futures Seasonal Charts

 

149

CBOT Wheat Futures Seasonal Charts

 

150

 

 

 
Appendix 5: Volatility Charts

 

151 - 155

How to Read Average Volatility Charts

 

152

Corn Futures Average Volatility Charts

 

153

Soybean Futures Average Volatility Charts

 

154

CBOT Wheat Futures Average Volatility Charts

 

155

 

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THE DATA CONTAINED HERE IN ARE BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE BUT CANNOT BE GUARANTEED AS TO RELIABILITY, ACCURACY, OR COMPLETENESS; AND, AS SUCH ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE.  CFEA WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR ANYTHING, WHICH MAY RESULT FROM RELIANCE ON THIS DATA OR THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED HERE IN.

DISCLOSURE OF RISK: THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL; THEREFORE, ONLY GENUINE RISK FUNDS SHOULD BE USED. FUTURES AND OPTIONS MAY NOT BE SUITABLE INVESTMENTS FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS, AND INDIVIDUALS SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER THEIR FINANCIAL CONDITION IN DECIDING WHETHER TO TRADE. OPTION TRADERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT THE EXERCISE OF A LONG OPTION WOULD RESULT IN A FUTURES POSITION.

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. 

NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL, OR IS LIKELY TO, ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. 

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM, IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES, ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS, IN GENERAL, OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.